DiplomacyNet

The uneducated, unimportant, unsolicited predictions on foreign affairs from an unqualified armchair foreign correspondent

On Iran

Video of Iran testing US Navy Defenses


Sunday, October 14, 2007

Why I'm Glad He Spoke

On September 24th, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad spoke before an audience at Columbia University. The event was the university's World Leaders Forum and it took place ahead of Ahmadinejad's annual address to the United Nations General Assembly. And I am glad that it took place.

I fully understand the anger and angst that some members of the Jewish community levied on the decision to allow him a platform to speak. After all, this is a man who has called the Holocaust "a myth" and who has urged the "elimination" of Israel. He is reflexively anti-American and was an active participant in the takeover of the US Embassy in Iran in the 70's. However, for a number of reasons, this event proved to work in the favor of those who find him reprehensible, as I do.

It Puts America's Brand of Democracy on Display

First, it demonstrates that the US is a far more principled country than today's Iran. We give more than lip service to the right to free expression, we live it. The US is a country where Ahmadinejad is considered the "opposition" based on his views on America and her allies.

And yet, here, he is free to express those views. In his own country, the opposition is silenced - one way or another. If you express opposition to the nation's leaders, if you criticize the actions of the government, if you question the infallibility of the Prophet Mohammed, the legacy of Imams, or the Supreme leader, or if you "insult Islamic sanctities", you face severe consequences. The concept of freedom of expression is severely hampered, and the consequences include imprisonment, torture, or death.

In this country, we revere the constitution and the guidance it provides the way that the Supreme Council in Iran reveres the Koran. The First Amendment prevents the legislature from making laws that infringe the freedom of speech, even when that speech is foolish and ludicrous. This should be a clear demonstration to the rest of the reflexively anti-American world (yes, I am speaking of those not just in the Middle East, but in Europe) that we maintain our democratic values in the face of adversity.

We have a history of going out of our way to preserve, even flaunt, our democratic principles. We will even do so on behalf of someone whose position and character we abhor. Go back to pre-revolution America. Prior to the Revolution, American colonists could not enjoy the same rights and privileges as other British subjects. The Boston Massacre was seen as the most horrific and barbaric event to be inflicted on Americans on her own soil at the time.

Outside of America, those that perpetrated such a crime could not have expected a fair trial. But in the colonies, though the patriots were committed to the resistance, the British soldiers were brought to trial. The soldiers were actually defended by John Adams, who staunchly believed that we needed to demonstrate the ability to conduct a fair trial. In fact, those soldiers were acquitted, and that acquittal signaled that the acts of the massacre, though horrendous, did not violate British law as it was understood in the colonies. And there set the tone for America as an example of democracy in practice.

So too with respect to Ahmadinejad. Though his views are reprehensible and offensive to American sensibilities, we come out ahead by letting him air them publicly. Richard Bulliet, an expert on Iranian history and affairs at Columbia, called Ahmadinejad's visit "entirely appropriate". Furthermore, the backlash is entirely appropriate. Freedom of speech works both ways and it allows for this kind of discourse. Self evident truths are by definition constant and unchanging.

He Proved Our Point On Our Behalf

Second, I am pleased that he had the opportunity to demonstrate just how out of touch with reality he is.
For example:
He told this group of educated people who know that Iranian homosexuals are routinely persecuted and executed that: ” In Iran we don’t have homosexuals like in your country.”
He told the same group of educated people who have heard him time and again call for Israel to be wiped off the map that: "We are friends with the Jewish people. There are many Jews living in Iran with security".
And, my favorite, raising the conspiracy specter on 9/11 with: "Why did this happen? What caused it? What conditions led to it? .. Who truly was involved? Who was really involved and put it all together?”

In the scheme of things, I think that those who despise Ahmedinejad came out ahead by his own voice. And it is not only what he said, it was his half-answers in response to clear questions. In the end, he came across as a very scary individual. Too bad that his fellow countrymen did not see these. President Ahmadinejad's official Web site and Iran's state news agency censored the speech. For example, they eliminated reference to gays -- including his comment that they do not exist in Iran.

Agitation: That's What Universities Do Best

Lastly, universities historically have been the locus of passionate and thought-provoking debate. Universities allow for the whacked and the thoughtful to air their positions. It's tradition. It's what they do. Of course, Columbia did not need to extend an invitation to this dictatorial twit. But then again, if they didn't, points one and two would not have been proven. In the end, mission accomplished: he came across as an extremist. We, on the other hand, demonstrated what it means to uphold dearly-held democratic ideals.

Saturday, February 24, 2007
60 Days of Hand Wringing
 

On December 23rd, the United Nations Security Council voted unanimously to give Iran 60 days: 60 days to close one single above-ground nuclear test facility (Natanz). Iran has been using Natanz for quite some time now to enrich uranium. On December 23rd, the UN gave them an additional 60 days. While the UN took 60 days to wring its hands, Iran spent that time moving its nuclear program into high gear. It took those 60 days to start moving its 3,000 gas centrifuges into the facility. It took those 60 days to openly snub the Security Council.

My question: what incentive do they have to do otherwise? What teeth does this organization have? The UN has repeatedly failed put together a set of policies to persuade the Iranians to give up their nuclear aspirations.  In fact, the UN is so mired in its own wrangling and nuance that there is very little that Iran is compelled to do. Look at the resolution itself.  What are the consequences for Iran if they fail to follow this 9 page resolution? 
The following quote is nicely representative of how little authority the UN holds in this matter. Russia's UN ambassador is quoted as saying that UN sanctions (i.e., the consequences of Iran not taking positive steps) are not the answer. To quote: "We should not lose sight of the goal, and the goal is not to have a resolution or to impose sanctions."

Then what is the goal? It is well understood that Russia will benefit financially from Iran expanding its nuclear program. Russia and China are two of the very few countries left that outwardly support Iran's nuclear development with contract work. And while the UN is arguing over text, context, and nuance, the building continues. The research continues. The enrichment continues. The underground development continues.

At the end of the day, Iran will get, with Russia and China's help, what they told the International Atomic Energy Agency they wanted all along: 54,000 centrifuges. That is twice the amount it would take to enrich enough uranium for 10 bombs...per year.

In the mean time, the UN can't even agree whether or not there should be a resolution. They can't agree whether or not there should be sanctions. And if, by some stretch of the imagination, sanctions are agreed upon, there is no will in the world body to enforce such sanctions.

The bottom line is that the UN has got to follow through with its recent resolutions. It has to have the will to back those resolutions with sanctions. It has to be willing to extend sanctions to those nations that aid and abet their development for financial gain. In other words, the United Nations has to prove itself to be relevant. Otherwise, Iran will have the bargaining chip this administration has wanted all along - a nuclear arsenal